In The National Journal’s power rankings of 2022 House elections, Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District was ranked as the number one House seat that is most likely to flip party control in the fall elections. The three reasons the National Journal provides for selecting the 3rd CD as most likely to flip are:
- Its an Open Seat. Congressman Ron Kind (D-La Crosse) who has represented the district since being first elected in 1996 is not seeking re-election.
- Former President Trump won the district by 4% in 2016 and by nearly 5% in 2020.
- Republican Derrick Van Orden, who narrowly lost to Congressman Kind by 3% in 2020, has a significant fundraising advantage over his potential Democratic opponents.
