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MBS Capitol Insights – April 19, 2024

In this update:

  • ‘Meet the Cabinet’ Recap
  • Election Updates
  • Administration Updates

‘Meet the Cabinet’ Recap

Medicaid Director Bill Hanna featured guest at Michal Best luncheon

Michael Best Strategies hosted Medicaid Director Bill Hanna at the Madison Office on Friday as a part of our ‘Meet the Cabinet’ series. Director Hanna met with clients, answered questions, and spoke about priorities for Wisconsin’s Medicaid program. Director Hanna was appointed Wisconsin’s Medicaid Director in 2024 and has fifteen years of Medicaid expertise.

Election Updates

MU poll recap

Marquette University Law School Poll released a new statewide poll on Wednesday, April 17th. Looking ahead to the November Elections, the poll found:

  • 49% of registered voters supported President Biden, while 51% backed former President Trump.
  • 52% of registered voters supported U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin, while 47% backed GOP U.S. Senate candidate Eric Hovde.
  • ICYMI: For an in-depth analysis of the poll from Michael Best, click here.

State Assembly and Senate

Incumbent lawmaker re-election announcements

More lawmakers this week announced their intentions to run for re-election under the new 2023 Act 94 legislative district maps. Listed below are the latest announcements from legislators.

  • Rep. Adam Neylon (R-Pewaukee) announced his bid for the 15th AD. Rep. Neylon was first elected in 2013 and was drawn into the 15th under the new maps. The new 15th AD has a 57.3% GOP lean. Sarah Harrison (D-Brookfield) is also running for the seat.
  • Rep. Supreme Moore Omokunde (D-Milwaukee) told WisPolitics he will run for reelection in the 17th AD. He has represented the 17th since 2020. The new 17th AD has an 84.4% Democratic lean.
  • Rep. Amy Binsfeld (R-Sheboygan) announced she is running for the 26th AD. She was redrawn into the 25th with Rep. Paul Tittl (R-Manitowoc) under the new maps, so she will be moving into the 26th to run for reelection. The new 26th AD has a 51% Democratic lean.
  • Rep. Rob Swearingen (R-Rhinelander) announced his reelection campaign for the 34th AD. Rep. Swearingen has served in the 34th AD since 2012. The new 34th AD has a 58.7% GOP lean.
  • Rep. Greta Neubauer (D-Racine) announced she is seeking reelection in the 66th AD. Rep. Neubauer has represented the district since 2018. Christian Kuether (R-Racine) is also running in the 66th AD. The new 66th AD has a 55.6% Democratic lean.
  • Rep. Rob Summerfield (R-Bloomer) announced his candidacy for the 68th AD. He was redrawn into the 68th AD with Rep. James Edming (R-Glen Flora) who announced his retirement this week. The new 68th has a 66.9% GOP lean.

Not running for re-election

Representative James “Jimmy Boy” Edming (R-Glen Flora) announced this week that he will not seek re-election. He joins 20 other incumbent lawmakers in not seeking re-election to their current office in 2024.

  • Rep. James Edming (R-Glen Flora) announced he will not seek re-election in the fall. Rep. Edming has represented the 87th AD for almost ten years and said in his press release, “While it will be hard to walk away, I am grateful for the opportunity to serve over these past ten years and look forward to what the next chapter holds.” Rep. Edming was paired with Rep. Rob Summerfield (R-Bloomer) in the 68th AD under the new maps.

* Partisan Performance was calculated using the election results from the 2022 U.S. Senate election, the 2022 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election, and the 2020 Presidential Election.

Non-incumbent election announcements

State Assembly

  • 28th: Brady Penfield (R-River Falls) announced his candidacy for the 28th AD. He is currently a student at the University of Wisconsin-River Falls where he created the College Republicans Club. The 28th does not have any incumbent lawmakers. Former state representative Rob Kreibich (R-New Richmond) has also announced his bid for the seat. The new 28th AD has a 63% GOP lean.
  • 51st: Elizabeth Grabe (D-Mount Horeb) announced her bid for the 51st AD. She is a member of the Mount Horeb Village Sustainability and Natural Resources Committee, a Realtor, and a hemp farmer. Rep. Todd Novak (R-Dodgeville) is the incumbent for the 51st, but under the new maps, the district has a 54.6% Democratic lean.
  • 62nd: Angelina Cruz (D-Racine) announced her candidacy for the 62nd AD. Ms. Cruz is a twenty-year veteran public school teacher and served as President of Racine Educators United since 2016. The 62nd is an open district with a 61.1% Democratic lean.
  • 90th: Amaad Rivera Wagner (D-Green Bay) announced his candidacy for the 90th AD. He is currently the Chief of Staff to Green Bay Mayor Eric Genrich. Rep. Kristina Shelton (D-Green Bay) was drawn into the 90th AD but announced she will not be seeking reelection, leaving the seat open. The new 90th AD has a 55.4% Democratic lean.

State Senate

  • 2nd SD: Former journalist Kelly Peterson (D-Appleton) announced her bid for the 2nd SD. The new 2nd SD has no incumbent lawmaker after Sen. Rob Cowles (R-Green Bay), who currently represents the district, was redrawn into the 30th SD with Sen. Eric Wimberger (R-Green Bay) and Sen. Andre Jacque (R-De Pere). Sen. Cowles announced that he is not seeking re-election. Sen. Wimberger previously announced he will be running for the 2nd SD. The 2nd SD has a 62.8% GOP lean.
  • 20th SD: Former state Rep. Tim Ramthun (R-Campbellsport) announced he will run for the 20th SD. Ramthun served two terms in the Assembly before leaving to run for governor. State Sen. Dan Feyen (R-Fond du Lac) was drawn into the district under the new maps and is running for re-election. The new 20th SD has a 67.7% GOP lean.

* Partisan Performance was calculated using the election results from the 2022 U.S. Senate election, the 2022 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election, and the 2020 Presidential Election.

U.S. President

Fox News releases new Wisconsin poll

Fox News released a new Wisconsin poll that shows President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump tied at 48%. In January, their poll showed a similar result with both candidates tied at 47%. When third-party candidates were included in the April poll, the breakdown was Biden 43%, Trump 41%, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 9%, and Jill Stein and Cornel West at 2% each.

The poll surveyed 1,198 registered voters in Wisconsin April 11-16 with live interviewers over landlines and cellphones and online after respondents were contacted via text. The margin of error was +/- 3 percentage points, and the results were weighted by age, race, education and area variables to ensure the demographics reflect the registered voter population.

U.S. Senate

Baldwin and Hovde announce fundraising

U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) and GOP Senate candidate Eric Hovde announced their fundraising totals for the first quarter of 2024. Sen. Baldwin raised $5.4 million and spent $3.1 million. Eric Hovde raised almost $1.1 million from donors since his late February campaign announcement, loaned his campaign $8 million and spent $3.7 million according to his filing.

U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin (D)

$5.4 million raised

$3.1 million spent

$10.2 million cash on hand

Eric Hovde (D)

$9.06 million raised

$3.7 million spent

$5.3 million cash on hand

Baldwin launches ad on efforts to stop spread of fentanyl

U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) released her third ad on her efforts to stop the spread of fentanyl. The spot is running on TV and digital platforms statewide and was included in a previously announced nine-figure buy.

Watch the ad here.

Fix Washington PAC launches new digital ad

The Fix Washington PAC launched a new digital ad, claiming U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) is “not working for us anymore.” They filed with the FEC, reporting $220,865 for a digital buy to oppose Sen. Baldwin and support Eric Hovde (R). The ad includes a 30-second and 15-second version of the ad.

Watch the 30-second ad here.

Watch the 15-second ad here.

U.S. House of Representatives

1st CD Race

Peter Barca announced bid for the 1st CD

Former Wisconsin Department of Revenue Secretary Peter Barca has launched his campaign to challenge U.S. Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Janesville) in the 1st CD. Barca said he is running because “I have always stood up for working families,” referring to creating good-paying jobs; lowering costs and delivering tax relief to middle class families; and expanding access to health care.

Barca held the seat thirty years ago after he won a 1993 special election to fill the vacancy created by Wisconsin Congressman Les Aspin’s appointment to be US Secretary of Defense under President Bill Clinton. Barca won the special election over Republican Mark Neumann by just 675 votes. Barca lost his re-election in 1994 in a re-match with Neumann by 1,120 votes. Prior to serving in Congress, Barca served in the state legislature for eight years. In 2008, Barca returned to the State Assembly and served in that body for another 10 years before being one of Governor Tony Evers first cabinet appointments.

In the last general election for the 1st CD, Congressman Bryan Steil won the seat by nearly nine points. Racine County Emergency Management coordinator and Navy Reserve intelligence officer Lorenzo Santos and healthcare professional Diane Anderson have also announced plans to run for the Democratic nomination for the seat.

Steil files finance report

U.S. Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Janesville) filed his finance report with the FEC which shows he raised $638,823 the first quarter in 2024. He also reported the largest cash on hand among Wisconsin’s House members with more than $4 million in the bank, and he spent $214,438. Lorenzo Santos, the 1st CD Democratic candidate from Racine, reported $12,096 raised, $9,557 spent, and $5,199 cash on hand.

U.S. Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Janesville)

$638,823 raised

$214,438 spent

$4.03 million cash on hand

Lorenzo Santos (D-Racine)

$12,096 raised

$9,557 spent

$5,199 cash on hand

3rd CD Race

3rd CD candidates report fundraising totals

Incumbent U.S. Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R-Prairie du Chien), Rebecca Cooke (D-Eau Claire), and state Rep. Katrina Shankland (D-Stevens Point) filed their finances to the FEC for the first quarter of 2024. Ms. Cooke out-fundraised Rep. Shankland by more than $188,000. She also had more than double the cash on hand of Rep. Shankland. Cong. Van Orden raised just over $700k in the quarter, the most among Wisconsin’s House delegation.

U.S. Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R-Prairie du Chien)

$705,319 raised

$375,820 spent

$1.9 million cash on hand

Rebecca Cooke (D-Eau Claire)

$491,635 raised

$180,566 spent

$807,661 cash on hand

State Rep. Katrina Shankland (D-Stevens Point)

$303,181 raised

$89,128 spent

$357,175 cash on hand

Eric Wilson (D-Eau Claire)

$16,810 raised

$19,079 spent

$17,059 cash on hand

8th CD Race

Roth and Jacque file fundraising reports

Former state Sen. Roger Roth (R-Appleton) and state Senator Andre Jacque (R-De Pere) filed their first quarter finance reports. Tony Wied and Kristin Lyerly (D) launched their campaigns after the reporting period closed for the first quarter filing. However, Tony Wied announced he has $700,000 cash on hand.

Sen. Jacque’s report shows that he has more financial support from GOP lawmakers than his former Senate colleague Roth. Rep. Elijah Behnke (R-Oconto), Rep. Jerry O’Connor (R-Fond du Lac), Rep. Janel Brandtjen (R-Menomonee Falls), Sen. Julian Bradley (R-Franklin), Sen. Rachael Cabral-Guevara (R-Appleton), Sen. Patrick Testin (R-Stevens Point), Rep. Travis Tranel (R-Cuba City), Rep. Ty Bodden (R-Hilbert), Rep. Chuck Wichgers (R-Muskego), and Rep. Ron Tusler (R-Harrison) all contributed to his campaign. Sen. Jacque gave his campaign $16,000 and spent $2,390, ending the period with $140,654 cash on hand.

Roth received twenty-five maximum amount donations ($3,300 for Primary and $3,300 for General Election). Included in that group of donors was former Republican gubernatorial candidate Tim Michels and his wife Barbara. Other notable GOP donors were Rick Graber (former GOP state chair), former DOA Secretary Scott Neitzel and Deputy Secretary Cate Zeuske, former Speaker Scott Jensen, and former Supreme Court Justice and Speaker David Prosser.

Roger Roth (R-Appleton)

$381,909 raised

$4,970 spent

$376,939 cash on hand

State Senator Andre Jacque (R-De Pere)

$143,044 raised

$2,390 spent

$140,654 cash on hand

Administration Updates

Evers appoints David Casey to serve as DOR Secretary

Governor Tony Evers appointed David Casey to serve as the secretary of the Wisconsin Department of Revenue (DOR), effective April 29, 2024. He previously was the deputy secretary of the DOR from 2019 to 2022 and now fills the vacancy left by former Secretary Peter Barca. Mr. Casey has almost 30 years of experience in state tax agencies and currently serves as a principal industry expert in tax compliance and fraud for SAS. He graduated from Grinnell College with a bachelor’s degree in economics and from Carnegie Mellon University with a Master of Public Administration in public policy and management.

“We are excited David is returning to state service as secretary of the Wisconsin Department of Revenue,” said Gov. Evers. “I look forward to David bringing his decades of experience in the industry, previous history working alongside our dedicated state workers, and his knowledge of our state tax laws and codes back to the department to serve the people of Wisconsin.”

Mark Meyer appointed administrator of the new alcohol division at DOR

The Department of Revenue appointed former Democratic lawmaker Mark Meyer as the administrator of the new Division of Alcohol Beverages. The division was created when Gov. Tony Evers (D) signed 2023 Wisconsin Act 73 and will oversee the enforcement of Wisconsin’s alcohol laws. The administrator can appoint special agents and other employees to carry out the division’s permitting, audit, legal and enforcement functions.

“This Division of Alcohol Beverages was created last session by bipartisan omnibus legislation. I am excited about the prospect of working with stakeholders and staff to implement this legislation within the Department of Revenue and make this a win for the people of Wisconsin,” said Mark Meyer.

Wisconsin Capitol Insights | Polling Update 4/17/2024

Marquette University Law School Poll released a new statewide poll on Wednesday, April 17th. Below, please find a summary of the survey’s results.

Quick Hits on the Poll

President Joe Biden Favorability -19%

  • Favorability 40% (Was 41% in February poll)
  • Unfavorability 59% (Was 58% in February poll)

President Joe Biden Job Approval -17%

  • Approve 40% (Was 41% in February poll)
  • Disapprove 57% (Was 58% in February poll)

Governor Tony Evers Favorability +5%

  • Favorability 50% (Was 52% in February poll)
  • Unfavorability 45% (Was 45% in February poll)
  • Haven’t heard enough 5%

Governor Tony Evers Job Approval +8%

  • 52% Approve (Was 51% in February poll)
  • 44% Disapprove (Was 44% in February poll)

Senator Tammy Baldwin Favorability +5%

  • Favorability 47% (Was 42% in February poll)

  • Unfavorability 42% (Was 45% in February poll)

  • Haven’t heard enough 11%

 


Senator Ron Johnson Favorability -12%

  • Favorability 39% (Was 38% in February poll)
  • Unfavorability 51% (Was 52% in February poll)
  • Haven’t heard enough 11%

 

Background on the survey

Marquette University Law School released a February poll this Wednesday. Below, please find the methodology of the poll as released by the Law School in their press release:

About the Marquette Law School Poll

The poll interviewed 814 registered Wisconsin voters between April 3-10, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points for the full sample. The partisan makeup of the sample is 34% Republican, 31% Democratic and 34% independent. The interviews were conducted online with 653 respondents and with 161 by telephone using live interviewers.

Complete results can be found here:

National Politics

President Joe Biden

President Joe Biden Favorability -19%

  • Favorability 40% (Was 41% in February poll)
  • Unfavorability 59% (Was 58% in February poll)

President Joe Biden Job Approval -17%

  • Approve 40% (Was 41% in February poll)
  • Disapprove 57% (Was 58% in February poll)

The MU Law School Poll found that 40% of registered voters approve of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president, and 57% disapprove of the way he is handling his job, a net -17% in job approval.

For comparison, in the last MU Law School survey in February 2024, 41% of registered voters approved of the job the president was doing and 58% disapproved of the way he was handling the job, a net -17% approval.

President Biden’s personal favorability is similar to his job approval with 40% of registered voters having a favorable opinion of him and 59% having an unfavorable opinion of him, a net -19% favorability. His net favorability is 2 percentage-points worse than the February poll, which found that 41% of registered voters had a favorable opinion of the President and 58% had an unfavorable opinion, a net -17% favorability.

Among voters who identified as Democrats, Biden is viewed favorably by 81% and unfavorably by 18%. Independents were 36% favorable and 61% unfavorable, while Republicans were 5% favorable and 95% unfavorable.


Senator Tammy Baldwin

Senator Tammy Baldwin Favorability +5%

  • Favorability 47% (Was 42% in February poll)
  • Unfavorability 42% (Was 45% in February poll)
  • Haven’t heard enough 11%

47% of registered voters have a favorable opinion of Democratic US Senator Tammy Baldwin and 42% have an unfavorable opinion of her. Sen. Baldwin’s net favorability increased between the February and April polls by 8 percentage-points.

About 85% of Democrats said they had a favorable opinion of Baldwin, compared to 37% of Independents and 15% of Republicans.

About 7% of Democrats said they had an unfavorable opinion of Baldwin, compared to 32% of Independents and 76% of Republicans.


Senator Ron Johnson

Senator Ron Johnson Favorability -12%

  • Favorability 39% (Was 38% in February poll)
  • Unfavorability 51% (Was 52% in February poll)
  • Haven’t heard enough 11%

39% of registered voters have a favorable opinion of Republican US Senator Ron Johnson and 51% have an unfavorable opinion of him. Johnson’s net favorability has slightly increased to -12%, up from the net -14% favorability that he had in the February poll.

About 73% of Republicans said they had a favorable opinion of Johnson, compared to 32% of Independents and 2% of Democrats.

About 17% of Republicans had an unfavorable opinion of Johnson, compared to 46% of Independents and 90% of Democrats.

State Politics

Governor Tony Evers

Governor Tony Evers Favorability +5%

  • Favorability 50% (Was 52% in February poll)
  • Unfavorability 45% (Was 45% in February poll)
  • Haven’t heard enough 5%

Governor Tony Evers Job Approval +8%

  • 52% Approve (Was 51% in February poll)
  • 44% Disapprove (Was 44% in February poll)

50% of registered voters have a favorable opinion of Governor Evers and 45% have an unfavorable opinion of him. Evers’ net favorability decreased 2 percentage-points between the February and April polls, dropping from +7% to +5%.

93% of Democrats and leaning Democrats said they had a favorable opinion of Evers, compared to 46% of independents and 13% of Republicans and leaning Republicans.

83% of Republicans and leaning Republicans said they had an unfavorable opinion of Evers, compared to 35% of independents and 5% of Democrats and leaning Democrats.

Governor Tony Evers’ job approval has remained stable with 52% of registered voters saying they approve of the job Governor Evers is doing and 44% saying they disapprove (+8% net approval). This is 1-point swing since the February survey when 51% said they approved and 44% disapproved of the job Gov. Evers was doing (a net +7% approval).

92% of Democrats and leaning Democrats said they approved of Evers, compared to 45% of Independents and 18% of Republicans and leaning Republicans.

81% of Republicans and leaning Republicans said they disapproved of Evers, compared to 41% of Independents and 4% of Democrats and leaning Democrats.


The Wisconsin Legislature Job Approval -22%

  • Approve 34% (Was 34% in February poll)
  • Disapprove 56% (Was 58% in February poll)
  • Don’t Know 9% (Was 8% in February poll)

The Wisconsin state Supreme Court Job Approval +7%

  • Approve 46% (Was 45% in February poll)
  • Disapprove 39% (Was 43% in February poll)
  • Don’t know 15% (Was 13% in February poll)

2024 Elections

Presidential Election

Respondents were asked “If you had to choose, would you vote for [Biden] or for [Trump]?”

Vote preference for President among registered voters

  • Joe Biden: 49% (Was 49% in February poll)
  • Donald Trump: 51% (Was 49% in February poll)

Respondents were asked “If the presidential ballot included additional candidates, would you vote for Democrat Joe Biden, Republican Donald Trump, independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr, independent Cornel West, or Green Party’s Jill Stein?”

Vote preference for President among registered voters

  • Joe Biden: 40% (Was 37% in February poll)
  • Donald Trump: 41% (Was 40% in February poll)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 13% (Was 16% in February poll)
  • Stein: 3% (Was 4% in February poll)
  • Cornel West: 2% (Was 2% in February poll)

Former President Donald Trump

Former President Donald Trump Favorability -13%

  • Favorability 43% (Was 40% in February poll)
  • Unfavorability 56% (Was 58% in February poll)

43% of registered voters have a favorable opinion of former President Donald Trump and 56% have an unfavorable opinion of him. Trump’s net favorability has slightly increased to -13%, up from the net -18% favorability that he had in the February poll.

About 77% of Republicans said they had a favorable opinion of Trump, compared to 47% of Independents and 2% of Democrats.

About 21% of Republicans had an unfavorable opinion of Trump, compared to 48% of Independents and 98% of Democrats.


U.S. Senate Election

Respondents were asked “If the 2024 election for U.S. Senate were held today … would you vote for [Hovde] or for [Baldwin]?”

Vote preference for U.S. Senate among registered voters

  • Tammy Baldwin: 52%
  • Eric Hovde: 47%
  • Haven’t decided: 1%

GOP Senate Candidate Eric Hovde

Eric Hovde Favorability -5%

  • Favorability 19% (Was 4% in February poll)
  • Unfavorability 24% (Was 7% in February poll)
  • Haven’t heard enough 56% (Was 88% in February poll)

19% of registered voters have a favorable opinion of GOP U.S. Senate candidate Eric Hovde and 24% have an unfavorable opinion of him.

About 36% of Republicans said they had a favorable opinion of Hovde, compared to 10% of Independents and 3% of Democrats.

About 6% of Republicans had an unfavorable opinion of Hovde, compared to 21% of Independents and 44% of Democrats.

State Issues

Right Direction-Wrong Track:

When asked “do you feel things in Wisconsin are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?” 41% of registered voters said Wisconsin is going in the right direction and 59% said it is on the “wrong track.”

Views largely broke down along partisan lines:

  • Republican: 21% right direction | 79% wrong track
  • Democrat: 65% right direction | 34% wrong track
  • Independent: 36% right direction | 62% wrong track

In February 2024, 42% said that Wisconsin was going in the right direction and 57% said it was on the wrong track. Before the COVID-19 pandemic, 61% said it was going in the right direction and 30% said it was on the wrong track.


State of WI’s Economy:

As Wisconsin heads towards a presidential election in November, respondents were asked “How would you describe the state of the Wisconsin economy these days?” 44% of registered voters described Wisconsin’s economy as “excellent” or “good” while 56% described it as “not so good” or “poor.”

Political affiliation had a significant impact on a respondent’s view of the state’s economy with Republicans having a more pessimistic view compared to Democrats:

Excellent: 6% (GOP: 0% | Independents: 6% | Dems: 11%)

Good: 38% (GOP: 23% | Independents: 34% | Dems: 56%)

Not so good: 42% (GOP: 55% | Independents: 42% | Dems: 26%)

Poor: 14% (GOP: 21% | Independents: 17% | Dems: 6%)

Policy Issues

Most important issue 2024

Respondents were asked to identify the issue that will be important to them in deciding their vote for president in 2024. The economy ranks as the most important issue with 33% of registered voters saying it is the most important issue followed by immigration and border security at 21%, abortion policy at 13%, and Medicare & Social Security at 11%.

Partisan affiliation has a clear impact in determining whether a respondent views a particular issue as “most important” in relation to their vote for president. The top two issues that Republicans view as most important are the economy (43%) and immigration and border security (37%). Democrats, on the other hand, say the most important issues are abortion policy (24%) and the economy (22%). Meanwhile, Independents align more closely with Republicans on this question, saying the most important issues are the economy (31%) and immigration and border security (23%)

MBS Capitol Insights – April 12, 2024

In this update:

  • Election Updates
  • Administration Updates

Election Updates

State Assembly and Senate

Incumbent lawmaker re-election announcements

More lawmakers this week announced their intentions to run for re-election under the new 2023 Act 94 legislative district maps. Listed below are the latest announcements from legislators.

  • Rep. Calvin Callahan (R-Tomahawk) announced his reelection bid to the 35th AD. Rep. Callahan has represented the 35th AD since 2020 and was redrawn into the district without being paired with another incumbent. The new 35th has a 64.5% GOP lean.
  • Rep. Robert Wittke (R-Racine) announced his bid for the 63rd AD. Rep. Wittke currently represents the 62nd AD and was the only incumbent redrawn into the 63rd under the new maps. The new 63rd AD has a 56.6% GOP lean.
  • Rep. Scott Allen (R-Waukesha) announced his candidacy for the 82nd AD. Rep. Allen represents the 97th AD and was first elected to the Assembly in 2014. He was redrawn into the 82nd under the new maps without any other incumbents. The new 82nd AD has a 53.8% GOP lean.
  • Rep. Donna Rozar (R-Marshfield) announced her campaign for the 86th AD which includes over fifty percent of her old district. Rep. Rozar has represented the 69th AD since being elected in 2020. Under the new maps, she was drawn into the new 86th. Rep. John Spiros (R-Marshfield), who was also drawn into the 86th, already announced that he is running for the seat. The district has a 62.8% GOP lean, and the primary will be held on August 13.
  • Rep. Steve Doyle (D-Onalaska) announced his reelection campaign for the 94th AD. Rep. Doyle was first elected to the state Assembly in 2012 and currently represents the 94th AD which he was redrawn into under the new maps. The new 94th AD is a 50-50 seat.
  • Rep. Scott Johnson (R-Jefferson) announced he will be running for the 43rd AD. Rep. Johnson currently represents the 33rd AD but was redrawn into the 97th AD with Cindi Duchow (R-Town of Delafield). The 43rd AD had no incumbents initially drawn in and includes communities that Rep. Johnson already represents. Dylan Kurtz (R-Janesville) has also announced a bid for the seat. The new 43rd AD has a 55.3% Democratic lean.
  • Rep. Robyn Vining (D-Wauwatosa) announced her reelection to the 13th AD. Rep. Vining represents the 14th AD and was redrawn into the 13th AD with Rep. Tom Michalski (R-Elm Grove). Rep. Michalski also announced his reelection campaign for the seat despite the district having a 57.5% Democratic lean.
  • Rep. Lee Snodgrass (D-Appleton) launched her reelection campaign for the 52nd AD. Rep. Snodgrass currently represents the 57th AD and was redrawn into the 52nd AD under the new maps without another incumbent. The new 57th AD has a 56.6% Democratic lean.
  • Rep. Ty Bodden (R-Hilbert) announced his bid for the 3rd AD. Rep. Bodden has represented the 59th AD since 2022 and was redrawn into the 3rd AD with Rep. Ron Tusler (R-Harrison) under the new maps. The new 3rd AD has a 61.6% GOP lean.

Not running for re-election

Senator Rob Cowles (R-Green Bay) announced this week that he will not seek re-election. He joins 19 other incumbent lawmakers in not seeking re-election to their current office in 2024.

  • Sen. Rob Cowles (R-Green Bay) was first elected to the Senate in 1987 and is the longest serving member of the state Senate. Sen. Cowles was drawn into the 30th AD with Sen. Andre Jacque (R-DePere) and Sen. Eric Wimberger (R-Green Bay). He initially intended to move into the 2nd AD which he currently represents after the maps were signed. “I’ve enjoyed the opportunity I’ve had to meet people in the State Capitol and throughout Wisconsin who share my love for the state we call home. From the bottom of my heart, I want to thank everyone who wakes up every day working to make our great state an even better place,” said Sen. Cowles.

* Partisan Performance was calculated using the election results from the 2022 U.S. Senate election, the 2022 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election, and the 2020 Presidential Election.

Non-incumbent election announcements

State Assembly

  • 9th AD: Deisy Espana (D-Milwaukee) announced her bid for the 9th AD. The 9th AD is held by Marisabel Cabrera (D-Milwaukee) who successfully ran for Milwaukee County Circuit Court Branch 43, creating an open seat. The district has a 71.6% Democratic lean.
  • 9th AD: Business owner Priscilla Prado (D-Milwaukee) announced this week she is running for the 9th AD seat as well. She is the founder and owner of Midwest Bookkeeping.
  • 11th AD: Rick Banks (D-Milwaukee) announced his candidacy for the 11th AD. He currently works at the Milwaukee County Office of Equity. The 11th AD is currently held by Rep. Dora Drake (D-Milwaukee) who has decided to run for State Senate. The district has an 85.3% Democratic lean.
  • 15th AD: Sarah Harrison (D-Brookfield) declared her candidacy for the 15th AD. She is the Founder and Principal Consultant at Order of Operations. The 15th AD is currently held by Rep. Dave Maxey (R-New Berlin), but only Adam Neylon (R-Pewaukee) was drawn into the new 15th AD. The new district has a 57.3% GOP lean.
  • 19th AD: Jarrod Anderson (D-Milwaukee) announced his candidacy for the 19th AD. Rep. Ryan Clancy (D-Milwaukee) currently represents the district and was redrawn in under the new maps. The new 19th AD has an 82% Democratic lean.
  • 55th AD: Realtor Kyle Kehoe (D-Oshkosh) announced his bid for the 55th AD. Rep. Nate Gustafson (R-Fox Crossing) and Rep. Michael Schraa (R-Oshkosh) were both redrawn into the new 55th. The new district has a 57.8% GOP lean.
  • 61st AD: LuAnn Bird (D-Hales Corners) announced she is running for the 61st AD. She previously ran for the 84th AD against Rep. Bob Donovan (R-Greenfield) and lost by two points. This election cycle, Rep. Donovan was drawn into the 7th AD with Rep. Daniel Riemer, and the current representative of the 61st, Amanda Nedweski (R-Pleasant Prairie), was drawn into the 32nd, leaving the district open. Rep. Donovan announced that he will be moving into the new 61st since it is three fourths of his current district, setting up a rematch with Ms. Bird. The new 61st AD has a 50.9% Democratic lean.
  • 71st AD: Army veteran Bob Pahmeier (R-Plover) announced his candidacy for the 71st AD. Rep. Katrina Shankland (D-Stevens Point) represents the 71st AD, but she has announced she is running for Congress, which leaves the 71st open. The new district has a 54.3% Democratic lean.
  • 92nd AD: Caden Berg (D-Chippewa Falls) launched his bid for the 92nd AD. Rep. Clint Moses (R-Menomonie) was the only incumbent drawn into the district. The new 92nd has a 51.1% GOP lean.

State Senate

  • 8th SD: Attorney and environmental policy expert Jodi Habush Sinykin (D-Bayside) launched her bid for the 8th SD to challenge Sen. Duey Stroebel (R-Saukville). She ran in the Spring 2023 special election and lost by 1,296 votes. The 8th SD is currently held by Sen. Dan Knodl (R-Germantown) who has announced he will be running for Assembly after being paired with Sen. Stroebel in the 8th SD. The new 8th SD is a 50-50 seat.
  • 14th SD: Sarah Keyeski (D-Sauk City) announced her bid for the 14th SD. She is a rural mental healthcare provider and owns her own practice in Lodi. The 14th SD is currently held by Sen. Joan Ballweg (R-Markesan) who has already announced her reelection campaign. Sen. Howard Marklein (R-Spring Green) was also drawn into the district. The new 14th SD has a 52.6% Democratic lean.
  • 30th SD: Allouez Village President Jim Rafter (R-Allouez) announced his candidacy for the 30th SD. He served on the Allouez Village Board of Trustees for ten years and served as President for eight of them. The district initially had three Republican incumbents drawn into it, and all of them decided not to run for the district, either retiring or running in a different race. Right now, Jim Rafter is the only Republican in the race against small business owner Jamie Wall (D-Green Bay). The new 30th SD has a 51.5% Democratic lean.
  • 32nd SD: Trempealeau County Supervisor Stacey Klein (R-Trempealeau) announced she is running for the 32nd SD. Ms. Klein dropped out of the U.S. Senate race last month and will now challenge Sen. Brad Pfaff (D-Onalaska) for his state Senate seat. The new 32nd SD has a 53% Democratic lean.

* Partisan Performance was calculated using the election results from the 2022 U.S. Senate election, the 2022 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election, and the 2020 Presidential Election.

Vos recall fails

The Wisconsin Elections Commission voted unanimously to reject the effort to recall Assembly Speaker Robin Vos (R-Rochester) because the recall petition lacked the necessary number of valid signatures. According to a memo from WEC staff, regardless of whether the recall would be conducted in the 63rd AD (the district Speaker Vos was elected to in 2022), or in the 33rd AD (the district he was drawn into under the new maps), the effort did not have enough signatures from either district to trigger the recall. WEC staff determined 6,850 signatures would be needed to recall Speaker Vos in the old 63rd AD, but only 4,989 valid signatures were submitted. Meanwhile, 7,195 valid signatures would be needed in the new 33rd, but only 3,053 were submitted. Organizers of the first recall have already launched a second recall effort.


State Supreme Court

Justice Ann Walsh Bradley will not seek re-election

State Supreme Court Justice Ann Walsh Bradley announced she will not seek re-election in 2025. In her statement, Justice Bradley said although she would not seek a fourth term, she could still “do the job and do it well,” adding she could win re-election if she chose to run. However, she said “it’s just time to pass the torch, bringing fresh perspectives to the court.”

SCOWIS currently has a liberal majority that will be more challenging to maintain with Justice Bradley’s retirement. Last spring, the election of Justice Janet Protasiewicz helped liberals secure a majority on the court for the first time in fifteen years. If liberals are able to hold Justice Bradley’s open seat in 2025, conservatives would not have the opportunity to reclaim the majority for at least three years. With the court’s majority up again next year, Justice Bradley would have been a candidate that has already won three times. Meanwhile, Conservative Waukesha County Circuit Court Judge and former Attorney General Brad Schimel has already announced his plans to run in 2025. In the wake of Justice Bradley’s announcement, three liberal judges haveindicated they may launch a bid as well. The judges include Dane County Circuit Court Judge Susan Crawford, 1st District Court of Appeals Judge Pedro Colón and 4th District Court of Appeals Judge Chris Taylor.


U.S. President

Biden introduces student debt relief plan in Madison

President Joe Biden promoted his plan for student debt relief for more than 30 million Americans on Monday in Madison. He said at Madison Area Technical College, “Too many people feel the strain and stress wondering if they’re going to get married, have their first child, start a family because even if they get by, they still have this crushing, crushing debt. That’s not it’s not just a drag on them, it’s a drag on our local economy.” The White House said the plan would impact 40,380 Wisconsinites who owe almost $1.9 billion in student loans.

Before Pres. Biden’s visit, U.S. Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Janesville) said, “Today, President Biden is back in Wisconsin pitching another expensive, inflationary election year giveaway. His student loan debt repayment plan is an unconstitutional abuse of power and is unfair to anyone who did not go to college or paid off their own loans.” During the WisGOP news conference, he said it’s inappropriate to ask those who didn’t attend college to pay for the outstanding loan debt of others and accused Pres. Biden of “trying to buy votes.”

To watch President Biden’s visit, click here.

To read more about the student loan relief proposal, click here.

Lincoln Project releases new ad

The Lincoln Project is running a new digital ad that claims, “the problems we still face at home and abroad aren’t from this White House.” They spent $100,000 for the 60-second ad to run in Wisconsin and Arizona. The ad targets female voters that are soft Republicans. The ad references January 6th, the health and economic impacts of the pandemic response, and then touts President Joe Biden’s first term.

Watch the ad here.


U.S. Senate

AFP Action launches new ad praising Hovde

AFP Action has launched a new ad campaign calling Republican U.S. Senate candidate Eric Hovde the “political outsider” Wisconsin needs. The campaign is a six-figure buy that will run statewide on digital platforms and streaming TV services. The ad has a 30-second and 15-second versions.

Watch the 30-second ad here.

Watch the 15-second ad here.


U.S. House of Representatives

New ads from Opportunity Wisconsin oppose Steil and Van Orden

Opportunity Wisconsin is running digital billboard ads targeting U.S. Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Janesville) and U.S. Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R-Prairie du Chien). The ad knocking Rep. Steil says, “I support over $44 billion in tax giveaways for the richest 1%,” and Rep. Van Orden says the same but cites $34 billion from a different bill. The billboards will run in their districts.

1st CD Race

Steil announces fundraising

1st CD incumbent Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Janesville) raised more than $638,000 through his congressional campaign account and will report $4 million cash on hand when he files his report next week. Rep. Steil did not mention his spending this quarter but started 2024 with more than $3.6 million cash on hand, putting his spending at around $235,000. The Steil Victory Fund also raised $150,000, and his leadership account pulled in more than $50,000.

3rd CD Race

Cooke announces fundraising

3rd CD candidate Rebecca Cooke (D-Eau Claire) announced she raised more than $490,000 in the first quarter, bringing her fundraising total to over $1.2 million this cycle. She finished 2023 with $496,592 in the bank. Ms. Cooke is running against state Rep. Katrina Shankland (D-Stevens Point) and Eric Wilson (D-Eau Claire) in the Democratic primary. The winner will face 3rd CD incumbent U.S. Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R-Prairie du Chien) in November.

8th CD Race

Tony Wied enters 8th CD race

Businessman Tony Wied announced his bid for the 8th CD race with former President Donald Trump’s endorsement. Mr. Wied previously owned and operated several Dino Stop gas station and convenience stores in the Green Bay area before selling them in 2022.

Wied joins two other Republicans — state Sen. Andre Jacque (R-De Pere.) and former state Sen. Roger Roth (R-Appleton) — who are also in the race. Jacque announced this week he has raised over $140,000 in the twenty-eight days since joining the race. Last week, OB-GYN Kristin Lyerly (D-Green Bay) announced her bid for the GOP leaning seat last week.

The 8th CD is located in northeastern Wisconsin and has a marked GOP lean. Republican gubernatorial candidate Tim Michels took 55.9% of the vote in the district in 2022 while U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson received 58.8% in the same year. In 2020, former President Trump won 57% of the vote in the district.

Administration Updates

Evers acts on last remaining bills of ’23-’24 session

Governor Tony Evers (D) acted on the last three remaining bills of the 2023-2024 legislative session. The Governor signed SB 981, or the “Prince Act,” which addresses the gaps in the Wisconsin AMBER Alert System by expanding criteria for issuing alerts for missing children. The Prince Act was a response to the disappearances and deaths of Prince McCree and Lily Peters to aid in ensuring authorities have expanded resources in the future to issue larger notices to the public quicker.

Gov. Evers vetoed SB 436 which would have eliminated the requirement that employers obtain a work permit in order to employ 14- or 15-year-olds. In the governor’s statement, he said the bill is wrong for kids and the state, especially with a rise in teenagers working hazardous or illegal jobs. The Republican sponsors of the legislation argued that currently 16 states have removed work permits for teenagers and that Wisconsin is halfway there, having previously removed the work permit form for 16- and 17-year-olds.

Governor Evers also vetoed SB 312 which he argued was “designed to benefit and protect polluters, limiting the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources’ (DNR) authority to respond to contamination.” Along with the veto, he called on the Joint Finance Committee to schedule a special meeting to release the funds to combat PFAS. Sen. Eric Wimberger (R-Green Bay), the author of the bill, released a statement responding to Governor Evers’ veto. In the release, he says, “The governor claims that this bill does not release the $125 million in PFAS funds, however this bill is the only vehicle for these funds to be released without creating a massive slush fund for the DNR; The governor claims that this bill contains protections for polluters, but the nonpartisan Legislative Council has shown otherwise, explaining that the provisions only apply to innocent landowners who agree to testing and remediation.”

Below are Gov. Evers’ press releases for the bills:

Evers and WHEDA announce workforce and senior housing funding program

Governor Tony Evers (D) and the Wisconsin Housing and Economic Development Authority (WHEDA) announced the Infrastructure Access Loan program is available to developers and municipalities statewide. The program provides loan funding to cover the costs of installing, replacing, upgrading, or improving public infrastructure related to workforce housing or senior housing. Borrowers can apply for up to 20% of the total development cost of residential housing and related infrastructure at a low-interest rate of three percent, or one percent in municipalities with a population of fewer than 10,000 or for senior housing.

“We made one of the largest state investments in state history in our most recent budget, and I’m excited to see this program and others supporting housing partners across our state,” said Gov. Evers. “We know access to quality, affordable housing is often a barrier to folks joining our workforce in communities across our state. Expanding affordable workforce and senior housing is critical to addressing our state’s workforce challenges and building an economy and workforce that can meet the needs of the 21st Century. I look forward to seeing the positive impacts these programs will have on housing access across Wisconsin.”

For more information on the Infrastructure Access Loan program and other WHEDA’s loan programs, click here.

Evers attends White House State Dinner

Gov. Tony Evers (D) attended a White House State Dinner in Washington, D.C., in honor of Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Fumio. “This State Dinner is an important opportunity to represent Wisconsin on the global stage and celebrate the enduring partnership and friendship Wisconsin has long maintained and cherished with Japan,” said Gov. Evers. “Our shared achievements highlight the power of collaboration between our state and nations, and I am eager to continue building upon this foundation to bring even greater prosperity to Wisconsin and the many Japanese businesses that call our state home.”

According to a press release from the governor, there are 81 Japanese companies with over 224 operations throughout Wisconsin, which has created approximately 8,900 jobs. Since 2013, Japan has invested over $2.6 billion in Wisconsin, making it the second largest investor in the state after Canada.

MBS Capitol Insights – April 5, 2024

In this update:

  • Election Updates
  • Administration Updates

Election Updates

Spring Election Recap

The Spring Election this week included the presidential preference primary, two constitutional amendments, referendums, and local races.

  • President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump both won their parties’ primaries.
  • The two constitutional amendments both passed.
  • Rep. Evan Goyke (D-Milwaukee) won his bid for Milwaukee City Attorney while Rep. Marisabel Cabrera (D-Milwaukee) won her race for Milwaukee County Circuit Court. Because state law bars those serving in judicial roles from simultaneously holding other elected offices outside the judiciary, Rep. Cabrera must vacate her Assembly seat prior to being sworn into her circuit court seat on August 1. Since Milwaukee city attorney is not a judicial position, Rep. Goyke has promised to continue to hold his Assembly seat to avoid giving Republicans a supermajority in the Assembly.
  • Rep. Todd Novak (R-Dodgeville) lost his Dodgeville mayor’s race and said the loss will not impact his plans to run for reelection to the assembly. Rep. Angie Sapik (R – Lake Nebagamon) received enough write-in votes for two different county board seats, but she only plans to serve for one seat. Rep. Steve Doyle (D-Onalaska) also won reelection to the La Crosse County Board.
  • Milwaukee voters approved a $252 million school referendum.

For more information on the elections, read our Spring Election Preview.

For the results as votes were coming in, read our April 2nd Election Results.


State Assembly and Senate

Incumbent lawmaker re-election announcements

More lawmakers this week announced their intentions to run for re-election under the new 2023 Act 94 legislative district maps. Listed below are the latest announcements from legislators.

  • Representative Dave Armstrong (R-Rice Lake) announced he will seek reelection in the new 67th AD. Rep. Armstrong was drawn into the 67th AD under the new maps, having previously served in the 75th AD since 2020. The new 67th AD has a 62.5% GOP lean.
  • Rep. Clinton Anderson (D-Beloit) announced his reelection bid for the 45th AD. Rep. Anderson has represented the 45th since 2022 and was redrawn into the district under the new maps without another incumbent. The new 45th AD has a 55.4% Democratic lean.
  • Sen. Brad Pfaff (D-Onalaska) announced his reelection campaign for the 32nd SD. The new 32nd SD has a 53% Democratic lean.

Not running for reelection

Representatives John Macco (R-Ledgeview) and Jon Plumer (R-Lodi) announced this week that they will not seek re-election. Reps. Macco and Plumer join 17 other incumbent lawmakers in not seeking re-election to their current office in 2024.

  • Representative John Macco (R-Ledgeview) has represented the 88th AD for a decade and said he and his wife are looking “forward to enjoying a Wisconsin summer, spending quality time with family, working to grow her new business and seeing that Republicans remain the majority party in the Wisconsin Legislature.” Rep. Macco was paired with 2nd AD incumbent Rep. Shae Sortwell (R-Two Rivers) in the 2nd AD under the new maps. Rep. Sortwell announced his bid for the 2nd AD in March, and the district has a 61% GOP lean.
  • Rep. Jon Plumer (R-Lodi) represented the 42nd AD since winning a special election in 2018 and was assistant majority leader during this past session. Under the new maps, Rep. Plumer was drawn into the 42nd with Rep. William Penterman (R-Columbus). Rep. Penterman already announced he will be moving to the 38th AD. The new 42nd has a 58.6% Democratic lean. Maureen McCarville (D-DeForest) is the only candidate announced to run in the district.

* Partisan Performance was calculated using the election results from the 2022 U.S. Senate election, the 2022 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election, and the 2020 Presidential Election.

Non-incumbent election announcements

State Assembly

  • 2nd AD: Navy veteran Alicia Saunders (D-Kimberly) told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel that she will run for the 2nd AD. The district is currently represented by GOP Rep. Shae Sortwell, who has held the seat since 2018. The new 2nd AD has a 61% GOP lean.

 

  • 14th AD: Mental health social worker Nate Kieso (D-West Allis) announced his bid for the 14th AD. The seat is currently represented by Rep. Robyn Vining (D-Wauwatosa) who was drawn into the 13th AD. The seat has a 55.3% Democratic lean, and Brady Coulthard (D-Milwaukee) has also announced a bid for the seat.
  • 18th AD: Margaret Arney (D-Milwaukee) launched her bid for the 18th AD. She is currently a Wauwatosa District 2 Common Council member. The 18th AD is an open seat under the new maps. The 18th AD is currently represented by Rep. Evan Goyke (D-Milwaukee) who was elected Milwaukee City Attorney this week. The new 18th AD has an 83.6% Democratic lean. If needed, the Democratic primary will be on August 13th, 2024.
  • 88th AD: Small business owner and Air Force veteran Ben Franklin (R-De Pere) announced his bid for the 88th AD. His announcement came a few days after incumbent 88th AD Rep. John Macco (R-Ledgeview) said that he would not seek reelection. Under the new maps, Rep. Macco was paired with Rep. Shae Sortwell (R-Two Rivers) in the new 2nd AD. The new 88th AD has a 61% GOP lean. Mr. Franklin is the second Republican to enter the race for the 88th, joining public relations professional Phil Collins.
  • 93rd AD: Christian Phelps (D-Eau Claire) announced his candidacy for the 93rd AD. The 93rd is currently held by Rep. Warren Petryk (R – Town of Washington), who was drawn into the district under the new maps as well. The district was previously a Republican leaning district, but under the new maps, the new 93rd has a 54.7% Democratic lean.

State Senate

  • 2nd SD: Former journalist Kelly Peterson (D-De Pere) told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel that she will run for the new 2nd SD. She is the first Democrat to join the race. Sen. Rob Cowles (R-Green Bay) and Sen. Eric Wimberger (R-Green Bay) have both already announced they will be running for the seat. The 2nd SD has a 62.8% GOP lean.
  • 18th SD: Dr. Anthony Phillips (R-Appleton) launched his campaign for the 18th SD. The new 18th was left vacant from incumbents after Sen. Feyen (R – Fond du Lac) was drawn into the new 20th SD. The 18th SD has a 54.3% Democratic lean. Kristin Alfheim, Blong Yang, and Joseph Carman all have entered the race.

* Partisan Performance was calculated using the election results from the 2022 U.S. Senate election, the 2022 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election, and the 2020 Presidential Election.


U.S. President

New poll from WSJ finds Biden and Trump tied

The Wall Street Journal released a new Wisconsin poll that found President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump tied at 46%. When third party candidates are included as an option, Biden receives 41%, Trump 38%, and Robert Kennedy Jr. 10%. Cornel West and Jill Stein each receive 1%.

The poll surveyed 600 Wisconsin registered voters by phone and text March 17-24. The poll was conducted by Fabrizio Lee and GBAO. FiveThirtyEight rates them 1.7 stars and 1.2 stars, respectively, on a three-star scale.

See the poll release.

Biden launches new TV ad

President Joe Biden released a new TV ad targeting former President Donald Trump’s abortion policy and said he doesn’t trust women. The Biden campaign said the ad is part of a $30 million buy targeting battleground states on national and local TV broadcasts. The ad will run during Milwaukee Brewers games and targets Milwaukee, Madison, and Green Bay while also running on streaming services statewide.

Watch the ad here.

RNC launches website critical of Biden

The Republican National Committee launched a website targeting President Biden’s border policy and said the president was “aiding and abetting an invasion.” The website is BidenBloodbath.com and includes videos praising former President Donald Trump while contrasting with Pres. Biden. The site also features memos on the Biden administration’s border policy and has dedicated web pages for 13 states, including Wisconsin, where it notes a 97% increase in fentanyl overdose deaths in the state from 2019-2021.

Climate Power runs digital ads favoring Biden

Climate Power released digital ads touting President Biden’s Clean Energy Plan. The multi-state campaign includes two ads with 15- and 30-second versions and will cost the group $100,000. One of the ads features Milwaukee homeowner Ramona saying the Clean Energy Plan helped pay for home insulation and reduce her utility bill.

Watch the 15-second “Saving Money” ad here.

Watch the 30-second “Saving Money” ad here.

Watch the 15-second “Future” ad here.

Watch the 30-second “Future” ad here.

Republican Voters Against Trump are running new ads

Republican Voters Against Trump ran ads on Tuesday in Green Bay critical of former President Donald Trump for the actions on January 6, 2021 at the U.S. Capitol. Former Pres. Trump visited Green Bay on Tuesday, and the ads will also run in Grand Rapids, Michigan where the former president also stopped. The group did not say how much was spent on the one-day campaign but did say the ads ran on Fox and other major broadcast news networks and YouTube.

Watch the ad here.

MU releases national poll

Marquette Law School released a national poll this week finding President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump tied at 50% among registered voters. When surveying likely voters, Pres. Biden has 52% support while former Pres. Trump has 48%. In February’s poll, Trump was at 51% with registered voters, and 52% among likely voters.

See the poll release.

The next Marquette Law School Wisconsin poll results will be released on April 17.


U.S. Senate

Trump endorses Hovde

Republican U.S. Senate candidate Eric Hovde received former President Donald Trump’s “complete and total” endorsement during the former president’s Green Bay rally on Tuesday. Former Pres. Trump said of Mr. Hovde, “You have tremendous potential, and she’s a weak candidate,” referring to U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin (D-Madison). “If you lose to her, that’s not a good thing” the former president added.

Mr. Hovde spoke before former Pres. Trump, saying the country has “taken a beating” during Pres. Biden’s administration. He said Pres. Biden’s policies have led to a humanitarian crisis along the southern border, sent inflation skyrocketing, and decreased real wages. Mr. Hovde went on to say Sen. Baldwin has supported Pres. Biden and does anything the “hard left wants.”

Wisconsin Democratic Party spokesperson Arik Wolk responded, “Eric Hovde and Donald Trump are birds of a feather: two out of touch rich guys running to put themselves first and Wisconsinites last. From banning abortion, repealing the Affordable Care Act, and promoting MAGA conspiracies about January 6 and the 2020 election, Donald Trump and Eric Hovde won’t fight for Wisconsin values.”

Hovde raises at least $1 million since campaign launch

A spokesperson for U.S. Senate candidate Eric Hovde said he has raised more than $1 million since his campaign launch in February. They said the $1 million did not include Mr. Hovde’s personal contributions that he made to his campaign. FEC reports are due April 15 to cover the first quarter of 2024’s fundraising. The $1 million meets the threshold to be eligible for an endorsement for the state’s Republican Party but will be verified by FEC reports filed this month. Receiving the endorsements gives the candidates access to benefits like the party’s infrastructure. In 2022, the minimum was $100,000 to qualify for the party’s endorsement, increasing it this year ten times due to the expected cost to challenge U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin (D). For comparison, Sen. Baldwin finished last year with more than $8 million cash on hand.

Hovde launches new TV ad

GOP U.S. Senate candidate Eric Hovde released a new TV ad critical of President Biden and U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) for their “open border policy.” The campaign is running statewide but didn’t include any other details. In the ad, Mr. Hovde says, “Our country was already struggling to provide housing and health care to our citizens and tragically, we’re losing over 100,000 Americans a year to the drugs that pour over our open border,” and later promises, “I’ll work to fix this problem.”

Watch the ad here.


U.S. House of Representatives

Dem joins 8th CD race

OB/GYN physician Kristin Lyerly (D-Green Bay) has announced she will run for Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District. Dr. Lyerly, a Democrat from De Pere, said her campaign will focus on healthcare access. “As an OB/GYN, I have been attacked firsthand by MAGA extremists targeting a woman’s right to make her own health choices,” said Dr. Lyerly. “I will work tirelessly to ensure that every woman in our state has access to reproductive care, including safe and legal abortions, essential services like maternity care, and mental health support.” This won’t be Dr. Lyerly’s first political campaign. She previously challenged Rep. John Macco for the 88th Assembly District in 2020 and lost, receiving 48% of the vote to Rep. Macco’s 52%.

The race for the 8th CD has gained increased attention in recent weeks after Congressman Mike Gallagher announced he would not run for reelection and instead would resign from his seat effective April 19. So far, two Republicans — state Sen. Andrew Jacque and former state Sen. Roger Roth — have officially entered the race. A third GOP candidate with ties to former President Donald Trump, political consultant Alex Bruesewitz, has also floated a possible run.

The 8th CD is located in northeastern Wisconsin and has a marked GOP lean. Republican gubernatorial candidate Tim Michels took 55.9% of the vote in the district in 2022 while U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson received 58.8% in the same year. In 2020, former President Trump won 57% of the vote in the district.

Opportunity Wisconsin launches new ad targeting Van Orden

Opportunity Wisconsin launched a new digital ad that is critical of U.S. Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R-Prairie du Chien) for allegedly siding with big corporations rather than farmers. The ad will run on digital platforms across the 3rd CD and are part of a previously announced seven-figure buy.

Watch the ad here.

Administration Updates

Evers takes action on bills

Governor Tony Evers (D) signed seven bills and vetoed two bills this week. He signed SB 222, which promotes pre-disaster flood resilience in Wisconsin communities, and AB 232, which requires school boards to include education on the contributions and history of Hmong Americans and Asian Americans in Wisconsin.

Below are the press releases for the passed bills:

  • SB 222 which promotes flood resilience, click here.
  • AB 232 which adds Hmong and American histories to K-12 school curriculum, click here.
  • AB 558 which adds the Mount Horeb Veterans Memorial to state highway maps, click here.
  • SB 399 which designates the USH 63 bridge, SB 452 which designates state Trunk Highway 128, and SB 668 which makes changes to DFI regulation, click here.
  • AB 917 which bars the sale of certain unsafe lighters, click here.

One of Gov. Evers’ vetoes was SB 145, which would have created a new license for advanced practice registered nurses (ARPNs). Gov. Evers’ said he vetoed the bill because he opposes new licensure and practice standards for ARPNs.

Below are the press releases for the vetoed bills:

  • AB 377 which would have prevented transgender and gender nonconforming youth from participating on school athletic teams that align with their gender identity, click here.
  • SB 145’s veto message, click here.

Medicaid fund projected to end biennium with $30M surplus

Wisconsin’s Medicaid fund is projected to end the biennium with a surplus, although slightly less than previously forecasted. The Department of Health Services notified the Joint Finance Committee that Wisconsin is on track to spend more than $8.6 billion in general purpose revenue on the program. That number is $26 million less than was budgeted but slightly higher than what the agency reported three months ago, which would have resulted in a $56.5 million surplus.

The agency said increased enrollment was a factor in the higher spending. The state projects that certain elderly, disabled and blind populations will still be below the budgeted numbers. However, child enrollments are expected to be 5% higher than expected due to a new federal requirement for 12 months of continuous coverage of Medicaid children between their annual eligibility redeterminations. The report also listed other factors that contributed to the reduced surplus, such as an increase in fee-for-service expenditures for nursing homes and hospitals, as well as prescription drugs.

MBS ALERT – April 2nd Election Results

Quick Hits

Statewide spring elections were held today and at the top of the ticket was the Presidential Preference Primary and two Constitutional Amendment referendums.

Below are the current projected winners of key races:

Presidential Preference Primary (81% Reporting)

Democratic candidates:

  • Joe Biden: 87.9%
  • Uninstructed Delegation: 8.8%
  • Dean Phillips (Suspended): 3.3%

Republican candidates:

  • Donald Trump: 79.1%
  • Nikki Haley (Suspended): 12.8%
  • Ron DeSantis (Suspended): 3.4%
  • Uninstructed Delegation: 2.2%
  • Chris Christie (Suspended): 1.6%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy (Suspended): 0.9%

Constitutional Amendment Referendums (79.4% Reporting)

  • Question 1
    • Yes: 54%
    • No: 46%
  • Question 2
    • Yes: 57.9%
    • No: 42.1%

Local Races

  • Milwaukee Mayor
    • Cavalier Johnson: 77%
    • David King: 22%
  • Milwaukee County Exec
    • David Crowley: 83%
    • Ieshuh Griffin: 16%
  • Wausau Mayor
    • Katie Rosenberg: 48%
    • Doug Diny: 52%

Presidential Preference Primary

With 81% of precincts reporting, the presidential preference primary adds 41 delegates for former President Donald Trump as the Republican nominee and 79 delegates to President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee.

Below is the current reporting of the results:

Democratic candidates:

  • Joe Biden: 87.9%
  • Uninstructed Delegation: 8.8%
  • Dean Phillips (Suspended): 3.3%

Republican candidates:

  • Donald Trump: 79.1%
  • Nikki Haley (Suspended): 12.8%
  • Ron DeSantis (Suspended): 3.4%
  • Uninstructed Delegation: 2.2%
  • Chris Christie (Suspended): 1.6%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy (Suspended): 0.9%

Constitutional Amendments Referendums

With 81% of precincts reporting, both referenda have passed.

State of Wisconsin Use of Private Funds in Election Administration Referendum – Question 1

Vote for one

QUESTION 1: “Use of private funds in election administration. Shall section 7 (1) of article III of the constitution be created to provide that private donations and grants may not be applied for, accepted, expended, or used in connection with the conduct of any primary, election, or referendum?”

  • Yes: 54%
  • No: 46%

State of Wisconsin Election Officials Referendum – Question 2

Vote for one

QUESTION 2: “Election officials. Shall section 7 (2) of article III of the constitution be created to provide that only election officials designated by law may perform tasks in the conduct of primaries, elections, and referendums?”

  • Yes: 57.9%
  • No: 42.1%

Local Races of Note

Milwaukee Mayor

Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson secured his first full term as Milwaukee Mayor after defeating David King.

  • Cavalier Johnson: 77%
  • David King: 22%

Milwaukee County Exec

Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley also won his reelection bid after a victory against Ieshuh Griffin.

  • David Crowley: 83%
  • Ieshuh Griffin: 16%

Wausau Mayor

Incumbent Wausau Mayor Katie Rosenberg lost her reelection bid to conservative Doug Diny.

  • Katie Rosenberg: 48%
  • Doug Diny: 52%

MBS Capitol Insights – Spring Election Preview

MyVote Website

Curious as to what is on your April 2nd Spring Election Ballot? Click here to go to the MyVote website to access what’s on your ballot, voting locations, and to register to vote.

Presidential Preference Primary

The Wisconsin Presidential Preference Primary will be held on Tuesday.

President Joe Biden has already captured enough votes ahead of Wisconsin’s primary to secure the Democratic Party nomination. Similarly, former President Donald Trump has captured enough votes as well to secure the Republican Party nomination.

To win the GOP nomination, a candidate is required to be awarded at least 1,215 out of 2,429 delegates. Former President Donald Trump has already been awarded 1,686. To win the Democratic nomination, a candidate must be awarded at least 1,968 delegates. To date, President Biden has been awarded 2,610. Both parties will hold conventions this summer where delegates from each state will officially select the nominee.

Below are the candidates who are on the ballot:

Democratic candidates:

  • Joe Biden
  • Dean Phillips (Suspended)
  • Uninstructed Delegation

Republican candidates:

  • Donald Trump
  • Chris Christie (Suspended)
  • Vivek Ramaswamy (Suspended)
  • Ron DeSantis (Suspended)
  • Nikki Haley (Suspended)
  • Uninstructed Delegation

Constitutional Amendment Referendums

Wisconsin voters across the state will have the opportunity to vote on two referendum questions that would amend the state Constitution as it pertains to the administration of elections. Republicans and conservative groups are urging a “yes” vote on the questions while Democrats and liberal groups are recommending a “no” vote. Both questions are on the ballot as a result of SJR 78 being passed by the legislature during two consecutive sessions. The joint resolution would prohibit state and local governments from using privately sourced moneys or equipment in connection with the conduct of elections, as well as specifying who may perform tasks related to the conduct of an election.

The joint resolution was introduced by Republicans in response to Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg donating nearly $400 million to the Center for Tech and Civic Life to help fund the administration of elections across the country in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. Called “Zuckerbucks” by opponents, Republicans in Wisconsin first passed the resolution to prohibit the use of such private funds in 2022, and then for a second time in November 2023. During the second round of voting, the Assembly voted 60-35 and the Senate 21-10 in favor of the resolution. Now, the amendments go to Wisconsinites for a final vote.

Below are the two referendums, Question 1 and Question 2:

State of Wisconsin Use of Private Funds in Election Administration Referendum – Question 1

Vote for one

QUESTION 1: “Use of private funds in election administration. Shall section 7 (1) of article III of the constitution be created to provide that private donations and grants may not be applied for, accepted, expended, or used in connection with the conduct of any primary, election, or referendum?”

Yes

No

State of Wisconsin Election Officials Referendum – Question 2

Vote for one

QUESTION 2: “Election officials. Shall section 7 (2) of article III of the constitution be created to provide that only election officials designated by law may perform tasks in the conduct of primaries, elections, and referendums?”

Yes

No

School Funding Referendums

Along with the constitutional amendments on the ballot, there is also a significant number of school funding referendums. Around 100 communities will have a school funding referendum on their ballots.

For the full list of the school districts with a referendum, click here.

For more information on school referendums, click here.

Local Races of Note

Milwaukee Mayor 

Incumbent Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson will face Wisconsin God Squad founder David King. During the three-way primary election in February, Mayor Johnson received 86% of the vote while Mr. King took 10%. Mayor Johnson is seeking his first full four-year term in office after winning a special election in April 2022 to serve the remainder of Mayor Tom Barrett’s term, who stepped down from the post in December 2021 to assume the ambassadorship to Luxembourg. Mayor Johnson won that 2022 special election with 71.5% of the total vote.


Milwaukee County Exec

Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley will face perennial political candidate Ieshuh Griffin in his bid for a second term. Executive Crowley was first elected to the county’s top job in 2020, when he narrowly defeated state Senator Chris Larson by half a percentage point, taking in 50% of the vote to Sen. Larson’s 49.5%.


Wausau Mayor

The race for mayor of Wausau features incumbent Mayor Katie Rosenberg facing challenger Doug Diny. Although officially nonpartisan, the race has received increased attention this season due to the high amount of campaign spending by the state Democratic and Republican parties. Mayor Rosenberg has received $191,000 in donations from the Democratic Party of Wisconsin while Mr. Diny has brought in roughly $43,000 from Republican-backed committees. Mayor Rosenberg was first elected in 2020 after
defeating then incumbent Robert Mielke, 52% to 47%.


Milwaukee Public Schools Referendum for $252 million

Residents in the Milwaukee Public School District will have a referendum on their ballot for $252 million to maintain services which were a part of an approved $87 million referendum which passed in 2020. Milwaukee Public Schools Superintendent Keith Mosley stated that those services include art, music, physical education classes, psychologists, social workers, and smaller class sizes. Mosley stated, “We have to maintain that. We went to our community for that support in 2020, and so, therefore, we are right now at a financial cliff, and so, therefore, you also have to look at the rate of inflation has not kept up with spending, and none of us could imagine there was going to be a world pandemic.”

The business community through the Metropolitan Milwaukee Association of Commerce has publicly opposed the referendum, spending more than $400,000 in opposition. MMAC President Dale Kooyenga stated, “These increased costs put our city’s growth in serious jeopardy. Compared to a dozen other Midwestern cities, Milwaukee already ranks among the highest in percentage of homeowners paying more than 30 percent of their income toward housing. This measure and its accompanying property tax increase will only exacerbate the problem.”

Michael Best Strategies Named to Bloomberg Government’s Top-Performing Lobbying Firms Report

Michael Best Strategies was honored again this year in Bloomberg Government’s 2023 Top-Performing Lobbying Firms, earning recognition for both strong earnings as well as client satisfaction.

“This team consistently appears on the Bloomberg Government Top-Performing Lobbying Firms report not just because of our book of business, but our high-quality client services,” said Tami Buckner, Partner and Head of the Federal Government Relations Group of Michael Best Strategies. “Our team takes pride in our ability to navigate complex policy landscapes, advocate for our clients, and drive impactful change. As we continue to grow, we remain dedicated to delivering exceptional results for our clients.”

The Bloomberg Government report analyzes federal government relations firms’ earnings disclosures and highlights the 381 firms, out of 2,105 that filed with the U.S. Senate and House in 2023, whose revenue was greater than $1 million.

Michael Best Strategies was also recognized as a Standout firm, finding only 68 of those 381 firms at this ranking. A Standout firm meets Bloomberg Government’s metrics for total revenue growth, growth in average revenue per client, short- and long-term customer retention rates, and revenue per registered lobbyist.

To download Bloomberg Government’s full report of Top-Performing Lobbying Firms, click here.

MBS Capitol Insights – March 29, 2024

In this update:

  • Election Updates
  • Administration Updates
  • Legislative Updates

Election Updates

Incumbent lawmaker re-election announcements

More lawmakers this week announced their intentions to run for re-election under the new 2023 Act 94 legislative district maps. Listed below are the latest announcements from legislators.

  • Rep. Sheila Stubbs (D-Madison) announced her candidacy for the 78th AD. Rep. Stubbs currently represents the 77th AD but was drawn into the 78th under the new maps. She has no other incumbents drawn into the district with her, and the district has an 81.7% Democratic lean.
  • Sen. Duey Stroebel (R-Cedarburg) will run in the new 8th SD in the 2024 election. Sen. Strobel currently represents the 20th but was drawn into the 8th SD under the new maps with Sen. Dan Knodl (R-Germantown). Sen. Knodl already announced that he will not be running for reelection to the State Senate and will instead run for the 24th Assembly District seat. The new 8th SD has a 49.6% GOP lean.
  • Sen. Eric Wimberger (R-Green Bay) announced he will be moving to the 2nd SD to launch his campaign, creating a primary between him and Sen. Rob Cowles (R-Green Bay). Sen. Wimberger said moving districts will allow him to live closer to his family business and to help his mom. Sen. Wimberger, Sen. Cowles, and Sen. Andre Jacque (R-DePere) were all drawn into the 30th SD under the new maps. Sen. Cowles already announced his intention to move to the 2nd AD after the maps were signed, and Sen. Jacque announced his bid for the 8th CD. The new 30th SD that they were all drawn into has a 51.5% Democratic lean, and the 2nd SD has a 62.8% GOP lean.

* Partisan Performance was calculated using the election results from the 2022 U.S. Senate election, the 2022 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election, and the 2020 Presidential Election.

Non-incumbent election announcements

  • Former state representative Rob Kreibich (R-New Richmond) announced his candidacy for the new 28th AD. Mr. Kreibich is the current New Richmond Chamber President, and his priorities are tax relief for families, regulatory reform, smaller government, and college affordability. Kreibich previously served in the Wisconsin State Assembly from 1993 to 2006, when he lost his re-election to Jeff Smith (D-Brunswick) who now represents the 31st SD. The new 28th is an open seat with a 63% GOP lean.
  • Blong Yang (R-Appleton) announced his candidacy for the 18th SD. Mr. Yang is the first Hmong Republican to run for state office in Wisconsin. He is local business owner who says he will prioritize economic development for all of Wisconsin, cut taxes, eliminate income and social security taxes, and make government a partner of business. The 18th SD is currently represented by Sen. Dan Feyen (R-Fond du Lac). However, Sen. Feyen was drawn into the 20th SD and will run for re-election in that district. The new 18th SD is therefore an “open seat,” with no incumbent seeking re-election, and is a 54.3% Democratic lean seat. Appleton Alder Kristin Alfheim (D-Appleton) also announced her candidacy for the seat last month.

* Partisan Performance was calculated using the election results from the 2022 U.S. Senate election, the 2022 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election, and the 2020 Presidential Election.

Baldwin launches new TV ad

U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Madison) launched a new TV ad, saying she “fought like hell” to protect pensions for Wisconsin workers. The ad is included in a previously announced seven-figure buy that will run across all Wisconsin markets. The ad refers to a provision in the American Rescue Plan that enabled the U.S. Treasury to provide assistance to failing multiemployer pension plans.

Watch the ad by clicking here.

Opportunity Wisconsin launches ad targeting Steil

Opportunity Wisconsin, a left-leaning issue advocacy organization, launched a new TV ad against U.S. Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Janesville). The ad accuses Rep. Steil of siding with drug companies instead of favoring an insulin price cap. The ad launched this week on Milwaukee broadcast TV and is included in a previously announced seven-figure media campaign.

Click here to watch the ad.

Americas PAC files $222,922 to oppose Baldwin

The conservative group Americas PAC notified the FEC they added $222,922 to its independent expenditures to oppose U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Madison). The money is for a radio spot that is critical of Sen. Baldwin for “inflation, out-of-control immigration, and insider deals.”

Listen to the spot: AmPAC_WISpring24_BidenWay_Final_60.mp3

DPW and RPW file finance reports

The state Democratic Party brought in $500,473 in late contributions since March 19, according to their latest filing. Former hedge fund manager and philanthropist George Soros contributed $250,000 to the sum while New York investor Clay Kirk contributed $90,000. Since the start of the new year, DPW has raised just under $6 million in its state account and reported having $3.6 million cash on hand in its Spring Pre-Election 2024 campaign finance report. LinkedIn cofounder Reid Hoffman was the largest contributor to state Democrats, donating nearly $3.6 million since Jan. 30, roughly the same amount of money the state GOP has raised in total over the past six months.

Meanwhile, the Republican Party of Wisconsin reported a $237,650 donation from ABC Supply owner and chair Diane Hendricks, as well as a $50,000 donation from Fred Young, a retired CEO from Racine, for a total of $287,650 in late contributions since March 19. Since the start of the new year, RPW has raised slightly less than $400,00 in its state account and reported having $646,224 cash on hand in its Spring Pre-Election 2024 campaign finance report.

Active state groups in the spring election must file reports of donations $1,000 or more that were received over the two weeks between the end of the pre-election period and the election. The pre-election reports were due this week.

Bloomberg News/Morning Consult releases new poll

Bloomberg News/Morning Consult released a new Wisconsin Presidential poll showing the race between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump is within the margin of error. Of registered Wisconsin voters, 46% favored Pres. Biden and 45% favored Trump. In last month’s poll, Trump was ahead of Pres. Biden by 4 points.

The poll surveyed 697 Wisconsin registered voters March 8-14. The data was weighted based on gender, age, race/ethnicity, marital status, homeownership and 2020 presidential vote. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. FiveThirtyEight rates Morning Consult 1.8 stars out of 3 stars.

See the poll release.

Trump rally next Tuesday in Green Bay

Former President Donald Trump will hold a rally in Green Bay Tuesday evening. This will be Trump’s first visit to Wisconsin since August 5, 2022, when he held a rally in Waukesha for the GOP candidate for governor, Tim Michels. The announcement said Trump will begin at 5pm at the Hyatt Regency with the doors opening at 2pm. The event is being held the same day as the Wisconsin spring elections which also includes the state’s presidential preference primary. President Joe Biden campaigned in Milwaukee earlier this month and Vice President Kamala Harris has visited Wisconsin twice in 2024.

Administration Updates

Evers takes action on bills

Governor Tony Evers (D) signed fifty bills and vetoed forty-one bills this week. He signed two bills designating highways, as well as bills focused on community safety. A highlighted bill was AB 573 which establishes a pilot program to provide virtual behavioral health crisis care services for county or municipal law enforcement agency officers. Gov. Evers also vetoed SB 335 that “would have allowed individuals with no license, no education, no training, no experience, no specific skillsets, no qualifications, and no background check to become school district administrators and have direct contact with kids at school.”

Gov. Evers also officially vetoed AB 386, a $3 billion GOP plan that would have reduced the third-highest tax bracket from 5.3% to 4.4% while enabling married couples to subtract $150,000 in payments from qualified retirement plans from their taxable income once they’re 67 or older. Gov. Evers said the bill was fiscally irresponsible and would leave the state “unable to meet its basic obligations to adequately fund education, health care, public safety and aid to local governments.”

For SB 633 Designating the Ho-Chunk World War II Code Talkers Memorial Highway, click here.

For SB 223 Designating the Corporal Benjamin H. Neal Memorial Highway, click here.

For SB 875 which decriminalizes the use of xylazine testing strips, click here.

For SB 829 which allows a tactical emergency medical services (TEMS) professional, who is acting in the line of duty, to carry a firearm, click here.

For the full list of community safety bills, click here.

For the SB 335 and its veto message, click here.

For 17 signed bills and 40 vetoed bills, click here.

DOR secretary Barca announces he is leaving Evers’ administration

Department of Revenue Secretary Peter Barca announced he will be leaving Governor Tony Evers’ administration after more than five years of service. “Peter has been with our administration since Day One, and I knew from the beginning that he would be a dedicated, enthusiastic, and effective leader for the Department of Revenue,” said Gov. Evers. “We’ve accomplished much together over the past five years on behalf of the people of Wisconsin, including ensuring Wisconsin taxpayers will see $1.5 billion in tax relief annually through income tax cuts I’ve signed into law. I thank Peter for service and wish him and his family all the best.”

Sec. Barca is reportedly considering a run for the 1st Congressional District, a seat he held thirty years ago. Sec. Barca won a 1993 special election to fill the vacancy created by Wisconsin Congressman Les Aspin’s appointment to be US Secretary of Defense under President Bill Clinton. Barca won the special election over Republican Mark Neumann by just 675 votes. Barca lost his re-election in 1994 in a re-match with Neumann by 1,120 votes. Prior to serving in Congress, Barca served in the state legislature for eight years. In 2008, Barca returned to the State Assembly and served in that body for another 10 years before being one of Governor Tony Evers first cabinet appointments. Racine County Emergency Management coordinator and Navy Reserve intelligence officer Lorenzo Santos and healthcare professional Diane Anderson have announced plans to run for the Democratic nomination for the seat.

Legislative Updates

Vos on ‘Upfront’

Assembly Speaker Robin Vos (R-Rochester) appeared on WISN’s ‘Upfront’ this week. On the show, Speaker Vos discussed his recall challenge and hiring Michael Gableman. Other topics discussed included:

  • Donald Trump
  • Recent RNC hires
  • Monday processing bill

Watch the full interview here.

MBS Capitol Insights – March 22, 2024

In this update:

  • Election Updates
  • Administration Updates
  • Legislative Updates
  • Upcoming Events

Election Updates

Incumbent lawmaker re-election announcements

More lawmakers this week announced their intentions to run for re-election under the new 2023 Act 94 legislative district maps. Listed below are the latest announcements from legislators.

  • Rep. Elijah Behnke (R-Oconto) announced his bid for the 4th AD. He currently represents the 89th AD but has been drawn into the 4th AD with incumbent Rep. David Steffen (R) under the new maps. “I didn’t want to be paired,” he said. “We vote alike 98% of the time, but the reason I’m running against him is because I feel like friends and family and Oconto County constituents will get more say in Madison because I’m actually from that community.” Rep. Behnke was first elected in April 2021 in a special election. The new 4th AD has a 66% GOP lean according to the 2022 elections at the top of the ticket.
  • Rep. Jenna Jacobson (D-Oregon) announced she is running for the new 50th AD. Rep. Jacobson currently represents the 43rd AD and was drawn into the 50th AD with no other incumbents under the new maps, leaving the 43rd open. Rep. Kurtz represents the 50th AD right now, and with the new maps, the district has a 59.2% Democratic lean after having a 62.8% GOP lean based off of the 2022 elections.
  • Rep. Alex Dallman (R-Green Lake) announced he will be seeking a third term in the state Assembly; this time in the 39th AD. He currently represents the 41st AD and was drawn into the 39th with no other incumbents. The new 39th has a 68% GOP lean according to the 2022 elections at the top of the ticket.
  • Rep. Loren Oldenburg (R-Viroqua) announced is reelection to the 96th AD. He was first elected to the Assembly in 2018 and was drawn into the 96th without another incumbent. However, the new 96th has a 56.7% Democratic lean where the old 96th had a 58.3% GOP lean according to the 2022 elections at the top of the ticket. Former La Crosse County Board Chair Tara Johnson also put in a bid for the seat two weeks ago.
  • Rep. John Spiros (R-Marshfield) announced his reelection to the 86th AD. Rep. Spiros was first elected to the 86th AD in 2012 and was redrawn into the 86th under the new maps along with Rep. Donna Rozar (R). Rep. Rozar currently represents the 69th AD which is a 72% GOP leaning open seat. The new 86th AD has a 65.1% GOP lean.
  • Rep. Cindi Duchow (R-Town of Delafield) launched her campaign for the 97th AD after representing the 99th AD since 2015. She was drawn into the 97th AD under the new maps along with Rep. Scott Johnson (R). The new 97th now includes areas south of I-94 in the Waukesha County area while also moving west. The new 97th AD has a 69.9% GOP lean according to the 2022 elections.
  • Rep. Joel Kitchens (R-Sturgeon Bay) announced his reelection bid for the 1st AD. Rep. Kitchens has represented the 1st AD in 2014 and was redrawn into the district under the new maps. He was drawn into the district without any pairs, and the district has a 59.1% GOP lean. He said fixing the state’s reading crisis is one of his top priorities as Chair of the Assembly Education Committee.
  • Rep. Tom Michalski (R-Elm Grove) launched his reelection campaign to the 13th AD. Rep. Michalski was elected to represent the 13th AD in 2022 and was redrawn into the district along with Rep. Robyn Vining (D). The new 13th AD has 57.5% Democratic lean, but it previously had a 57.5% GOP lean.
  • Rep. Tony Kurtz (R-Wonewoc) announced he will be seeking reelection in the 41st AD. Rep. Kurtz currently represents the 50th AD and was first elected to the seat in 2018. He has been drawn into the 41st AD under the new maps. The new 41st AD has a 60.1% GOP lean according to the 2022 election results.

Not running for reelection 

Two incumbent Republican lawmakers this week announced their intention not to seek re-election. Representatives Gae Magnaifici (R-Dresser) and Angie Sapik (R-Lake Nebagamon) join 15 other incumbent lawmakers in not seeking re-election to their current office in 2024.

  • Rep. Gae Magnafici (R-Dresser) announced her retirement from the Assembly. “As I prepare to leave public office, my dedication to this community does not waver. I am immensely thankful for the trust and support extended to me over the years and am optimistic about the future prosperity and growth of our great state,” she said. Rep. Magnafici was first elected to the 28th AD in 2018. She was drawn into the 75th AD without another incumbent, leaving the 65.9% GOP leaning seat open.
  • Rep. Angie Sapik (R-Lake Nebagamon) announced she will not be running for reelection for Assembly in 2024. She said in her press release, “In the governor’s map, our district changed from nearly 50/50 Republican versus Democrat to an overwhelming 62% Democrat seat. Ultimately, and honestly in the last seconds, I decided to hit the green button and vote for the Governor’s Maps – for the good of the party and what I deemed to be for the good of the state. Essentially, I voted myself out of office to help save the Republican majority.” She first ran for the 73rd AD in 2022 and was redrawn into the district under the new maps. However, the new 73rd AD changed from a 53.2% GOP lean to a 61.3% Democratic leaning seat.

Non-incumbent election announcements

  • Duke Tucker (R) launched his campaign for the 75th AD following Rep. Gae Magnafici’s (R) retirement announcement. Mr. Tucker enlisted in the United States Air Force where he served in Desert Storm/Shield as a combat communications specialist. He also served as the Operations Manager at Grantsburg Telcom for 28 years. Some of his priorities include: community safety, wise use of hard-earned tax dollars, protect 2nd amendment rights, protect private property rights, and ensure secure and fair elections. The new 75th AD has a 65.9% GOP lean.
  • Madison Common Council Alder Nasra Wehelie (D) announced her candidacy for the 80th AD. She said she will bring “a community-centered approach and draws from her lived experiences to address critical issues, including housing, women’s rights, education, economic development, criminal justice reform, and sustainability.” Rep. Mike Bare (D) announced he will be running for reelection for the seat as well.
  • Brad Cook (D) announced his bid for the 40th AD. He currently serves on the Columbia County Board of Supervisors, the Town of Pacific Plan Commission, and the Pardeeville Fire Department. The 40th AD is currently held by Rep. Petersen (R), but he was drawn into the 57th AD. Rep. Dave Considine (D) was drawn into the 40th but announced his retirement earlier this year. The new 40th AD has a 55.3% Democratic lean based on the results of the 2022 election at the top of the ticket. Engineer Kyle Kunicki (D) already announced his candidacy for the seat.

Gallagher announces resignation effective April 19

U.S. Rep. Mike Gallagher (R) announced he is resigning from his U.S. House seat after announcing earlier this year that he would not be running for reelection in the fall. His resignation announcement did not include a reason for the decision, but his decision does contribute a shrinking GOP majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. U.S. Rep. Ken Buck (R) also announced his resignation on Friday. Once those two resignations are effective Republicans will have an even more slim 217-213 majority in the House of Representatives.

In his statement, Gallagher said “Four terms serving Northeast Wisconsin in Congress has been the honor of a lifetime and strengthened my conviction that America is the greatest country in the history of the world. I will forever be proud of the work I did on the Armed Services and Intelligence Committees, chairing the Cyberspace Solarium Commission, and chairing the Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party. It has truly been an honor to serve in the House of Representatives.”

Biden releases new TV ads

President Joe Biden’s campaign launched two new TV ads in Wisconsin “aimed at highlighting the ‘disaster’ former President Trump would be for Black Americans if he is reelected president” according to an article in The Hill. The ads will run through April 21 in Wisconsin and other swing states as well as nationally on Black-owned news platforms and streaming platforms during the NCAA basketball tournament. In both the 30 second ad and the 15 second ad, Pres. Biden says as “bad as Trump was, his economy was worse. Black Americans felt it the most.”

Watch the 30 second ad here.

Watch the 15 second ad here.

Emerson College Polling/The Hill releases new poll

Emerson College Polling/The Hill released a poll this week tracking the presidential and senate race in Wisconsin. The survey found a 2024 rematch between former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden in Wisconsin is within the margin of error. According to the survey Donald Trump has the support of 46% of Wisconsin registered voters while Pres. Biden has the support of 43%. In February, the survey had Trump at 45% and Biden at 42%. When third party candidates are included as an option, Trump receives 43%, Biden 40%, and Robert Kennedy Jr. 6%. Cornel West and Jill Stein each receive 1%. In February, the survey had 41% supporting Trump, 37% supporting Biden, 7% supporting Kennedy and 1% supporting Cornel West and Jill Stein respectively.

The poll also has Wisconsin’s US Senate race within the margin of error. In their latest survey, Emerson found U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin (D) leading GOP candidate Eric Hovde 45% to 42%. In their February poll, Emerson had Sen. Baldwin at 46% and Mr. Hovde at 39% among registered voters.

The poll surveyed 1,000 registered voters March 14-18. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. FiveThirtyEight rates Emerson College Polling/The Hill 2.9 stars out of 3 stars.

Administration Updates

Evers takes action on 98 bills

Governor Tony Evers (D) took action on 98 bills in addition to the electric vehicle bills. He signed forty-eight bills and vetoed six in his first round of bills that he took action on. Gov. Evers then signed an additional forty-four bills later in the week. Among the legislation signed into law was AB-574, which regulates earned wage access services and programs. Also signed was AB 664, which requires disclosures on political advertisements when artificial intelligence is used to generate content. Several of the bills vetoed by the governor relate to the administration of elections. Also vetoed was AB 476, which would have prohibited the governor from filling vacancies in the offices of secretary of state, treasurer, attorney general, and state superintendent of public instruction through appointment without confirmation by the state Senate.

For the first list of signed and vetoed bills, click here.

For the second list of signed bills, click here.

Evers signs EV bills

Governor Tony Evers (D) signed into law SB 791 and SB 792, now 2023 Wisconsin Acts 121 and 122, which enables WisDOT to receive and administer more than $78 million in federal funds under President Biden’s Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL) to support electric vehicle (EV) infrastructure. “We don’t have to choose between protecting our environment and natural resources or creating good-paying jobs and infrastructure to meet the needs of a 21st-Century economy—in Wisconsin, we’re doing both,” said Gov. Evers. “Expanding EV charging infrastructure is a critical part of our work to ensure Wisconsin is ready to compete and build the future we want for our kids—one that is cleaner, more sustainable, and more efficient. Thanks to President Biden’s Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, we’re ready to get to work.”

Assembly Speaker Robin Vos (R) said the federal dollars going to electric charging stations are “such a waste” and a “big, huge boondoggle,” adding that electric vehicles won’t be the reality of where the nation is in a decade and the money should be going towards fixing roads.

Legislative Updates

Vos speaks at WisPolitics luncheon

WisPolitics hosted a luncheon to chat with Assembly Speaker Robin Vos (R) to reflect on this session, look ahead to future sessions, and discuss the November elections. Below are some other topics covered during the talk:

  • His recall
  • New maps
  • Bipartisan agreements
  • Education
  • Right of First Refusal (ROFR)
  • Medical marijuana
  • Transportation

Watch the talk here.

Michael Best Strategies Adds Former Senate Deputy Chief of Staff to Roster

Michael Best Strategies (Michael Best) announced today that Alyssa K. Burleson has joined as Chief of Staff to the Federal Government Relations Group. She will be located in the Washington, D.C. office.

As Michael Best expands, Burleson fills the new role as a trusted advisor to the head of the Federal Government Relations Group. She’ll provide strategic guidance and thoughtful partnership on major initiatives and projects. Her responsibilities will include cultivating a high-performance working environment, optimizing structure and processes, and developing and empowering team members.

“We’re thrilled to welcome Alyssa to the firm’s D.C. office,” said Tami Buckner, Partner and Head of the Federal Government Relations Group. “She brings a wealth of experience to add to our mission of driving impactful outcomes for our clients. Her collaborative leadership and strategic management will undoubtedly elevate our team’s effectiveness in navigating opportunities and operations.”

With a track record of success in navigating the complexities of Capitol Hill, Burleson brings a unique blend of strategic insight, operational proficiency, and political acumen to the role. As Chief of Staff, she will be instrumental to driving business growth, fostering a culture of excellence, and advancing the goals of the Federal Government Relations Group.

“Alyssa is smart, savvy, and understands the policy that drives the politics—and just as important, she understands the politics driving those very policies,” said Senator Cory Gardner, member of the Michael Best Board of Advisors and former U.S. Senator for Colorado. “Hardworking and committed to success, she will make an excellent addition to Michael Best.”

Before joining Michael Best, Burleson served as Deputy Chief of Staff for Senator Pete Ricketts (R-Nebraska), overseeing key operational aspects of the Senate office such as managing multiple office locations in Washington, D.C. and Nebraska, handling personnel functions and acting as a liaison between the Senator’s office and various Senate entities. Burleson has also served in key roles for several other senators, including as Administrative Director for Senators Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyoming), Mike Lee (R-Utah), and Cory Gardner (R-Colorado).

Burleson earned her MPA from George Washington University, and she graduated with a B.A. in Government & Public Administration from Evangel University.

About Michael Best

Michael Best is a legal and consulting group with more than 400 diverse professionals across the U.S., serving clients around the world. We offer full-service law firm capabilities (capital markets, corporate, intellectual property, labor and employment relations, litigation, political law, privacy and cybersecurity, real estate, regulatory, tax, and wealth planning); and consulting talent (business strategies, communications, government relations, HR consulting, and technology innovation). We serve a variety of industries, including agribusiness, banking and financial services, digital technology, energy, food and beverage, healthcare, higher education, and life sciences. For more information, visit michaelbest.com.

The law firm of Michael Best & Friedrich LLP and the consulting firm of Michael Best Strategies LLC are affiliated entities that provide distinct services.